England vs South Africa tips: Betting preview with predictions & RWC odds
It is highly likely that South Africa will win their fourth title as they faced many difficulties, including finishing second behind Ireland in Pool B. However, they managed to overcome these challenges and secure a narrow victory of 29-28 against France, who were the hosts, in the quarter-final.
The current champions performed exceptionally well in their match against France. However, the quarterfinals must have exhausted the South Africans, so England is likely to give them a tough competition in the semi-finals at Stade de France.
Springboks Unlikely To Win Easily
Following a dreadful performance during the Six Nations and unimpressive friendly matches leading up to the World Cup, it was believed by very few that England would make it this far in the competition.
Borthwick's squad had no distinctive identity, they were conceding an alarming number of tries, and they were finding it difficult to generate opportunities within the opposing team's 22-meter area.
Gradually, they have united and developed their self-assurance in France. Furthermore, they led their pool before triumphing over a determined Fiji team in the quarter-finals.
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England has achieved triumph by focusing on the basics, such as having a solid defense and pursuing the ball effectively after a kick. However, they'll require additional tactics to emerge victorious against South Africa.
The South African rugby team, known as the Springboks, are skilled at highlighting the vulnerabilities of their opponents. This was evident in the 2019 final when they completely outperformed and overpowered England during scrum time.
In the game against France, South Africa effectively used their kicking strategy to exploit certain vulnerabilities of the French team when it came to high catches. In light of this challenge, Borthwick has decided to replace Marcus Smith with the more reliable Freddie Steward at full-back, as one of three alterations to his team since the match against Fiji.
In other changes, George Martin will now be in the second row, and Joe Marler will join the pack as loosehead to strengthen England's performance in the scrum. South Africa, on the other hand, will maintain their unchanged XV.
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England has chosen a team that can counter some major challenges, but they have yet to encounter a South African team of such caliber in the World Cup. It is probable that they will fall short, but it may not be by a large margin.
Returning to the 1995 World Cup, the typical difference between the winning and losing teams during the semi-finals is slightly more than 10 points. However, out of South Africa's five semi-final matches, four have had outcomes that were decided by six points or fewer.
The England team for the match has 13 players who were also on the team for the 2019 final. They are very determined to win the semi-final game and give South Africa a tough challenge.
Suggestion: Betfred is offering odds of 19/10 on South Africa winning by 1-12 points.
England Might Opt For Penalties In A Practical Manner
England's Owen Farrell and George Ford have kicked 15 penalties, making them the top scorers in the tournament so far. According to the most recent Rugby World Cup odds, it appears they will continue to take many more attempts to score points.
Borthwick has encouraged his team to score points whenever they have the opportunity, and England might have to rely on taking small steps with penalty kicks due to South Africa's impressive defense.
Out of the four teams that are left in the tournament, South Africa has the greatest defensive performance and has done the third-most tackles. Additionally, their remarkable speed in keeping the line was a major factor in their victory over France.
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The pace of England's play is not very fast. In their quarter-finals match against South Africa, their ruck speed was one second slower than their opponents. Due to this, relying only on brute force alone might make it difficult for England to break through the Springboks' defenses.
England will most likely have to play catch-up during the match, but it will be difficult for them to score tries. Instead, they may end up earning more points through penalty kicks for the fourth time in the past five times they have faced South Africa.
Advice: Bet on England to score more penalties than tries with a 6/5 odds at bet365.
South Africa To Display Uncompromising Attitude
Older versions of South Africa would have copied England and accepted the points offered, but this current South African team is more eager to gain more than just points.
Betway is providing a reasonable deal for over 2.5 tries from South Africa at odds of 7/10. This seems like a good opportunity to take since the South African team was able to score three tries before the 26th minute against France, who was known for being difficult to beat.
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The Springboks have been one of the top scorers in this year's World Cup, with only three other teams scoring more tries than them. They have managed to score an average of five tries per game in all of the matches they have played so far.
England's defense has shown a significant improvement from their previous performances this year. However, during their match with Fiji, they still let three tries slip through. The upcoming challenge of facing South Africa may prove to be even tougher, especially with the likes of prominent and reputable finishers, Cheslin Kolbe and Kurt-Lee Arendse. It's possible that England may struggle to maintain their defense against this formidable opponent.
Suggestion: Place your bets on South Africa scoring more than 2.5 times with a probability of 7/10 at Betway.
Chris is a skilled author who specializes in sports betting. He has collaborated with many popular bookmakers and broadcasting companies, including ITN and Racing Post. Chris writes about a variety of sports, but he is particularly fond of rugby, NFL, football, and Formula 1.