Man Utd vs Everton Prediction
As we prepare for Sunday’s Premier League clash at Old Trafford, we've got our thoughts and predictions on the matchup between Man Utd and Everton. Could this be the day Ruben Amorim secures his first victory at home in the top division?
Key Insights: Manchester United Vs Everton
Ruben Amorim's time at Manchester United began with an impressive burst of energy. In fact, it only took 81 seconds for Marcus Rashford to score from Amad Diallo’s assist at Portman Road last Sunday.
However, United supporters who were looking for a quick change were let down. Ipswich Town leveled the score with a deflected shot from Omari Hutchinson, and if it weren't for some excellent saves by André Onana, Amorim's debut match as manager could have resulted in a loss.
However, facing off against another struggling team in the Premier League, Everton, at home gives Amorim a wonderful opportunity to secure his first win in the top division. Plus, he comes into this match with one victory already achieved.
In Amorim's second match at the helm, United quickly took the lead within the first minute, but they found themselves trailing 2-1 to Bodo/Glimt in the UEFA Europa League on Thursday. Fortunately, Rasmus Højlund stepped up with two goals, leading the team to a 3-2 victory at Old Trafford. With this win, they will be full of confidence as they prepare to host Everton.
The Toffees have managed to lose just once in their last eight league matches, but it’s clear that their supporters are not satisfied with how the season has unfolded. While Sean Dyche’s squad has regained some strength in their defense, they have struggled to make an impact when it comes to scoring goals.
They haven’t managed to find the back of the net in their last three games, suffering a 1-0 defeat to Southampton followed by two goalless draws with West Ham and a Brentford team that played with only 10 men. In their recent match against Brentford, Everton took 27 shots but ended up with only 1.2 expected goals, which translates to an average of just 0.04 expected goals per shot. While Dyche might highlight the number of chances they created, the statistics indicate that most of those chances were of poor quality.
This season, Everton has struggled to find the back of the net in more Premier League matches than any other team, with a total of six games without scoring. Conversely, only two clubs have recorded more clean sheets than the Toffees: Liverpool, with six, and Manchester United, with five. So far, Everton has played to three scoreless draws this season, which is the highest number they've had since 2015-16 when they had four.
Everton's last two matches in the Premier League ended with a score of 0-0, and this occurrence has happened only once before in their history: back in February 1982, they managed to achieve three straight matches without any goals.
Considering that no team in the Premier League has had fewer goals in their matches this season than United, who have managed only 26, it might be wise to temper expectations for a high-scoring game here.
In fact, the only teams that have scored fewer goals than the Red Devils (13) are Southampton (9), Crystal Palace, and Everton (10). On the other hand, only Liverpool (8) and Arsenal (12) have allowed fewer goals than Manchester United, who have conceded 13.
United has scored 13 goals while their expected goals (xG) stands at 18.3. They are the team with the largest gap between their actual goals and expected goals, underperforming by 5.3.
This is a crucial chance for Amorim to showcase his ambitions, especially with an upcoming match against Arsenal next week. Looking back to the beginning of last season, Amorim managed to win all 22 of his home league matches as the coach of Sporting CP, with an impressive total score of 72-13. Fans of United will be eager to see if their new head coach can replicate that success at Old Trafford.
Rashford scored the opening goal during Amorim’s time as coach, and he consistently performs well against Everton. In his last seven matches in the Premier League against the Toffees, he has contributed to five goals, with two goals and three assists. He has also scored in his last two encounters with them. The forward is just two goals shy of becoming the sixth player to net 50 goals in the Premier League at Old Trafford for Manchester United.
Everton has faced significant challenges in being creative this season, but if they want to pose any danger, Dwight McNeil is probably going to play a key role.
With crosses taken into account, only Andreas Pereira (103) has made more passes into the opponent's penalty area in the Premier League this season than McNeil (101). McNeil has generated 30 scoring opportunities in the 2024-25 season, nearly double that of any other player on the Everton roster, with Ashley Young being second with 16.
Manchester United Vs Everton: Head-to-Head Stats
Both recent and older history definitely favors United as they approach this matchup.
Manchester United has secured victory in 41 Premier League matches against Everton, setting a record for the most wins one team has achieved over another in the history of the league.
Everton has managed to secure only one victory in their last 31 away matches in the Premier League against United, with 8 draws and 22 losses. Their sole win came in December 2013, when they triumphed with a score of 1-0.
United has triumphed in their last four Premier League matches against Everton, marking their longest winning streak against them since they recorded nine consecutive wins between December 1999 and February 2004.
Manchester United Vs Everton Match Preview
In 57.5% of the 10,000 simulations conducted by Opta's advanced supercomputer, United emerged as the winner.
On the flip side, Everton only has a 20.4% chance of winning, and the likelihood of the match ending in a draw stands at 22.1%.
Manchester United And Everton Lineup Predictions
The Opta Power Rankings provide a worldwide ranking system for football teams. They evaluate and assign a performance score to more than 13,000 domestic teams. This score ranges from zero to 100, with zero representing the lowest-ranked team globally and 100 indicating the top team in the world.
Before the match kicks off this weekend, here are the Power Rankings from Opta for both teams.
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