Corbyn close to shock win in Islington North, poll shows just hours before election

Jeremy Corbyn

There is still a possibility that Jeremy Corbyn could win unexpectedly in Islington North, as indicated by a recent poll released just over 12 hours before the polls open.

The results from a recent YouGov survey showed that he had 38 percent of the vote, trailing just behind Labour's candidate, Praful Nargund, who had 43 percent.

However, the pollster stated that the five-point difference indicated that it was uncertain who would emerge victorious, mirroring the results of a previous YouGov survey conducted earlier in the election.

With the release of the most recent MRP survey, the report showed the Conservatives heading towards a significant loss nationwide. The report emphasized that, just like before, Jeremy Corbyn continues to be the top-performing candidate not affiliated with a specific party.

Our prediction indicates that the Labour party is only slightly leading in Islington North, and we see the seat as too close to call.

A previous survey conducted by Survation indicated that Labour was ahead by a wider margin in Islington North.

RMT General Secretary Mick Lynch welcomed Mr. Corbyn on stage at the rally and addressed the large crowd, stating: "When we return to Parliament next week, Jeremy will join our RMT group alongside any other remaining socialists in the Labour party we can locate."

Mr. Corbyn mentioned to the Standard newspaper: "We have put together a large campaign. If elected and the new government does positive things, I will approve of them."

"If they continue to enforce the limit on benefits for families with more than two children, or if they fail to address poverty rates in our community, I will not hesitate to speak out against it."

Mr Corbyn's team has handed out numerous flyers on his behalf in various areas of the district.

However, Labour should have a more coordinated effort for Mr. Nargund, as independents typically struggle to keep up with the resources of political parties.

In London as a whole, the Conservative party is expected to lose about 14 seats, reducing their total from around 20 to just six. This is based on the latest research.

They would only keep control of Old Bexley and Sidcup, Harrow East, Finchley and Golders Green, Romford, Hornchurch and Upminster, and Ruislip, Northwood and Pinner.

However, in all of these districts except Old Bexley and Sidcup, the Conservative party's lead is only five points or fewer, making it possible for the seats to be won by the Labour party.

Many other seats that the Tories may lose, like Orpington, are very close races, so they could potentially win more than just the six seats.

However, the Reform party has significantly impacted the Conservative vote, especially in Orpington where Nigel Farage's party is currently polling at 19 percent.

According to the poll, the Liberal Democrats are likely to gain three constituencies from the Conservatives in London - Wimbledon, Sutton and Cheam, and Carshalton and Wallington. This would result in their number of seats in the capital doubling.

The Labour party would have 63 out of 75 total seats in the city, while the Liberal Democrats and Conservatives would each have six seats.

This would be the highest percentage of seats in London that Labour has ever obtained, at 84%, which is higher than the 77% it won during Tony Blair's landslide victory in 1997.

Throughout the nation, YouGov predicts that Labour will receive 39 percent of the vote, the Tories 22 percent, Reform UK 15 percent, the Lib Dems 12 percent, and the Green Party seven percent.

This would mean Labour would have 431 seats, the Conservatives 102, the Liberal Democrats 72, the Greens 2, and Reform UK 3. The SNP holds 18 seats in Scotland, and Plaid Cymru has 3 in Wales.

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